Newcastle United U21 1-7 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.96/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.89
-30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
1-7
AWAY Chelsea U21
1.09 xG 3.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
220 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle United U21 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 38% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.09 to 3.61.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Newcastle United U21 1-7 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 22%, draw 20%, Chelsea U21 58%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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