Lisen 1-0 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.07/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.41
-31% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 1-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
17.04.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 4-5 HT 3-2 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
16.09.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-2 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
05.03.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-0 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
13.08.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
12.03.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-3 HT 0-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisen
1-0
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen edged past Graffin Vlasim 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lisen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lisen had 44% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 56%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lisen and 1.83 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Graffin Vlasim?

Lisen 1-0 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lisen 40%, draw 27%, Graffin Vlasim 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lisen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lisen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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