Airdrieonians 2-1 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.7
X/2
13%
5.53
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
23%
3.69
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.62
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +99%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
83 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 116 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
6.0 Crosses 23.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.12.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
02.11.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
31.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
20.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.05.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
01.05.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians edged past Hamilton 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hamilton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?

Airdrieonians 2-1 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 31%, draw 26%, Hamilton 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamilton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
8 Mar 2025
18:00 Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Greenock Morton vs Ayr United Analysis →