Falkirk 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.5
X/1
25%
3.74
X/2
5%
15.05
X/X
7%
6.06
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
5%
13.5
2/X
7%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
2.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.00
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +104%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.12.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-3 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
26.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
10.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 2-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
07.03.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.11.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Falkirk and 1.50 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Falkirk 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 64%, draw 21%, Dunfermline Athletic 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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