Dunfermline Athletic 3-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Dec 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
3-3 HT 1-1
Falkirk
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.58
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
17.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
9.8
X/2
16%
3.67
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.23
2/X
7%
16.9
Value flag · X/1 at 9.8 — our 17% vs market 6.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+12.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
56%
-15.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.70/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.25
-28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
140 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 91%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 4.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
10.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
08.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 2-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
07.03.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.11.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İK1
17.09.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic and Falkirk shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk?

Dunfermline Athletic 3-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 32%, draw 28%, Falkirk 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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