Greenock Morton 2-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.46
6+ Goals
6%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.29
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
7%
7.48
X/2
11%
4.38
X/X
12%
3.99
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.77
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.01/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.93
-4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses 10.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
08.11.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
09.04.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
28.10.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton squeezed past Ayr United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Greenock Morton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greenock Morton and 0.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Greenock Morton 2-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 32%, draw 29%, Ayr United 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
8 Mar 2025
18:00 Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Analysis →
18:00 Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic Analysis →