AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
AFC Wimbledon v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon took care of Notts County 2-0.
From a near-even 36% / 26% / 38% read, it was AFC Wimbledon who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.88, roughly 53%.
The match data tells the story: Notts County saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for AFC Wimbledon against 0.80 for Notts County.
AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Result & Final Score
AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 36%, draw 26%, Notts County 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.