Derby County 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 8 Mar 2025

Derby County
2-1 HT 2-1
Blackburn Rovers
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
15%
5.44
X/X
20%
3.53
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.11
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.24
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.0 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.42 xG 1.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 4-2 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
15.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
30.10.2021 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.04.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
26.09.2020 Derby County Derby County 0-4 HT 0-3 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
08.03.2020 Derby County Derby County 3-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL

Derby County 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County
2-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
2.23 xG 1.61
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
119 Passes 403
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Derby County found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Derby County had 30% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 70%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.23 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derby County and 2.50 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers?

Derby County 2-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Derby County 35%, draw 31%, Blackburn Rovers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derby County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derby County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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