Swansea City vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-3
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Swansea City 1-0 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City edged past Middlesbrough 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Swansea City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Swansea City had 39% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 61%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Swansea City and 1.83 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Middlesbrough?
Swansea City 1-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 35%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.