Crystal Palace 1-0 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
18%
3.99
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.0
2/2
11%
9.59
2/X
9%
17.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.28
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.1 Crosses 12.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
437 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
24.07.2021 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
22.08.2017 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNLK
16.04.2013 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
06.11.2012 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.04.2012 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1-0
AWAY Ipswich Town
3.26 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace nicked a narrow win over Ipswich Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 55% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 45%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 3.26 to 1.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Crystal Palace's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.83 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?

Crystal Palace 1-0 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 52%, draw 25%, Ipswich Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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