Liverpool vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-2
Liverpool
İNP
3-1
HT 3-1
Southampton
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 3-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool got the better of Southampton 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 71% of the ball to Southampton's 29%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 4.12 to 0.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Liverpool and 1.50 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Southampton?
Liverpool 3-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 64%, draw 21%, Southampton 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.