Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Manchester City
İNP
6-0
HT 3-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Nottingham Forest
FAK
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest nicked a narrow win over Manchester City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Nottingham Forest made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nottingham Forest had 31% of the ball to Manchester City's 69%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.73 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.33 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 36%, draw 23%, Manchester City 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.