Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.56
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
31%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.4
X/1
19%
4.12
X/2
6%
19.85
X/X
10%
9.2
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
9%
14.3
2/X
6%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.35/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.76
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
44.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.8 Crosses 12.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.35 xG 0.88
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
622 Passes 249
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
23.09.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
18.02.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.08.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 6-0 HT 3-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
03.01.2009 Manchester City Manchester City 0-3 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest FAK
30.03.2002 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
3-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.41 xG 1.04
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
521 Passes 230
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City swept aside Nottingham Forest 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City had 67% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 33%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.41 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?

Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 56%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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