Everton 4-0 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
13%
5.16
X/2
11%
8.09
X/X
15%
4.8
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
6.02
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.46/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.54
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.8 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
330 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.08.2023 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
20.05.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.12.2022 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.03.2022 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
01.11.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
4-0
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.02 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
292 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton cruised past Wolverhampton 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Everton had 44% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 56%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton and 1.67 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Everton vs Wolverhampton?

Everton 4-0 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Everton 43%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
4 Dec 2024
22:30 Southampton vs Chelsea Analysis →
22:30 Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Analysis →
22:30 Newcastle United vs Liverpool Analysis →
23:15 Aston Villa vs Brentford Analysis →
23:15 Arsenal vs Manchester United Analysis →