Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-2
Liverpool
İNP
3-1
HT 3-1
Southampton
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Southampton
İNP
Southampton 1-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Southampton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Southampton had 31% of the ball to Liverpool's 69%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.70 to 1.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southampton and 3.17 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Liverpool?
Southampton 1-2 Liverpool in the England - League Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Southampton 27%, draw 22%, Liverpool 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.