Valencia 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.86
Over
52%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.12
2-3
37%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.51
6+
14%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.85
X/1
23%
3.67
X/2
7%
14.45
X/X
10%
5.74
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
9%
13.25
2/X
7%
22.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.62 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.72
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.22
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
23.5 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
374 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
27.04.2023 Valencia Valencia 2-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
29.01.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
09.05.2021 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
10.01.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
07.07.2020 Valencia Valencia 2-1 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
1.91 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
437 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Valencia vs Valladolid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valencia found just enough to beat Valladolid 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valencia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.61 (~62%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Valencia's favour, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.91 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Valencia against 0.67 for Valladolid.

Valencia vs Valladolid Result & Final Score

Valencia 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valencia vs Valladolid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Valencia 55%, draw 24%, Valladolid 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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