Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.67
Over
39%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.84
No
53%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.65
2-3
44%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.13
6+
8%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.39
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
17%
5.33
X/X
16%
3.99
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.6
2/X
8%
12.85
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal The Market 40%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.16 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.31
0.94 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.34
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.1 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Villarreal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.76
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
220 Passes 443
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
22.10.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
30.04.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
21.12.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 5-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.04.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-0
AWAY Villarreal
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
162 Passes 463
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
REVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Alaves edged past Villarreal 1-0.

From a near-even 31% / 30% / 39% read, it was Deportivo Alaves who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo Alaves had 31% of the ball to Villarreal's 69%, shots finished 5-24.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 2.00 for Villarreal.

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Result & Final Score

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 31%, draw 30%, Villarreal 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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