Villarreal vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-1
HT 2-0
Villarreal
İS1
5-2
HT 2-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
3-1
HT 2-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Villarreal 3-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal swept aside Deportivo Alaves 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Villarreal had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 37%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Villarreal and 1.50 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Deportivo Alaves?
Villarreal 3-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 55%, draw 22%, Deportivo Alaves 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.