Leganes vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İSPK
0-3
HT 0-2
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
0-3
HT 0-2
Leganes
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Sevilla
İS1
Leganes 1-0 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Leganes had 43% of the ball to Sevilla's 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Sevilla?
Leganes 1-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leganes 40%, draw 30%, Sevilla 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.