Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Osasuna
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Osasuna
İSPK
0-2
HT 0-0
Real Madrid
İS1
1-1
HT 1-0
Osasuna
İS1
1-3
HT 1-2
Real Madrid
İS1
Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Osasuna 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Real Madrid had 68% of the ball to Osasuna's 32%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 3.06 to 0.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Real Madrid and 0.83 for Osasuna.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Osasuna?
Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Osasuna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 62%, draw 21%, Osasuna 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.