Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Mar 2025

Celta Vigo
2-1 HT 2-1
Leganes
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Celta Vigo vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.07
No
56%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
2.91
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.75
6+
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
25%
3.86
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
8%
10.3
2/X
6%
18.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Celta Vigo v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes The Market 20%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.67 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.74
0.91 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.42
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
18.5 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Celta Vigo vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leganes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 1.03
61% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
431 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Leganes Leganes 3-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
22.02.2020 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
08.12.2019 Leganes Leganes 3-2 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
27.04.2019 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
14.12.2018 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
14.04.2018 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
2-1
AWAY Leganes
0.89 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
510 Passes 367
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Celta Vigo vs Leganes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celta Vigo squeezed past Leganes 2-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Celta Vigo had 57% of the ball to Leganes's 43%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.17 for Leganes.

Celta Vigo vs Leganes Result & Final Score

Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Celta Vigo vs Leganes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 58%, draw 23%, Leganes 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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