Leganes 3-0 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

Leganes
3-0 HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.62
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
8%
6.89
X/2
14%
4.35
X/X
17%
3.96
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.94
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.84/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
-68% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.5 Crosses 11.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leganes vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.79
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
226 Passes 421
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2020 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
08.12.2019 Leganes Leganes 3-2 HT 2-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
27.04.2019 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
14.12.2018 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
14.04.2018 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
24.11.2017 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1

Leganes 3-0 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
3-0
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.62 xG 0.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
276 Passes 493
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes ran out comfortable winners over Celta Vigo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 39% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 61%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.62 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leganes and 0.67 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Celta Vigo?

Leganes 3-0 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leganes 28%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Celta Vigo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
27 Oct 2024
18:15 Getafe vs Valencia Analysis →
20:30 Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Analysis →
23:00 Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Analysis →