Real Betis 1-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

Real Betis
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.16
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
10%
6.77
X/2
11%
4.6
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.99
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.06
-41% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.1 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 1.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
461 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
02.04.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
23.10.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
06.03.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
31.10.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 1-0 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.94 xG 0.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
24 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
300 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis squeezed past Atletico Madrid 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Real Betis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Real Betis had 42% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 58%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.94 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Betis and 1.83 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid?

Real Betis 1-0 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 30%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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