Real Sociedad 0-2 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.75
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
6%
10.25
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
9.0
2/X
11%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.33
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.0 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 0.66
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
17.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.07.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
28.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
31.12.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-2
AWAY Osasuna
1.65 xG 0.98
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
514 Passes 128
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Box Touches 14
40 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna got the better of Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 75% of the ball to Osasuna's 25%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.65 to 0.98 — on chances, Real Sociedad could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.83 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Real Sociedad 0-2 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 45%, draw 30%, Osasuna 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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