Real Sociedad 0-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.19
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
18%
3.55
X/2
9%
9.45
X/X
18%
3.59
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
12%
9.03
2/X
6%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.47/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.32
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.5 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.71 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.07.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
28.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
31.12.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.07.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-1
AWAY Osasuna
1.55 xG 0.48
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
503 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
59 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna edged past Real Sociedad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 69% of the ball to Osasuna's 31%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.48 — on chances, Real Sociedad could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Real Sociedad 0-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 44%, draw 30%, Osasuna 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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