Getafe 1-1 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

Getafe
1-1 HT 0-1
Valencia
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Getafe vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
18%
8.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
16%
3.92
X/2
9%
7.79
X/X
17%
3.04
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
7%
7.49
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Valencia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.44
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.8 Crosses 15.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Getafe vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valencia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
08.12.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
20.02.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
04.09.2022 Valencia Valencia 5-1 HT 3-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
12.03.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
13.08.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1

Getafe 1-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-1
AWAY Valencia
2.26 xG 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
300 Passes 124
77% Pass Accuracy 53%
30 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe and Valencia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Getafe had 64% of the ball to Valencia's 36%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.26 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Valencia?

Getafe 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Getafe 51%, draw 29%, Valencia 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Getafe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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