Valencia 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2024

Valencia
1-0 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Valencia vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
5.97
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.79
X/2
10%
8.49
X/X
14%
3.63
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
11%
7.82
2/X
4%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.45/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.7 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.7

Valencia vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Getafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 277
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
20.02.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
04.09.2022 Valencia Valencia 5-1 HT 3-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
12.03.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
13.08.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
27.02.2021 Getafe Getafe 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1

Valencia 1-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-0
AWAY Getafe
0.81 xG 1.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 265
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia edged past Getafe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valencia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valencia had 51% of the ball to Getafe's 49%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.81 to 1.27 — on chances, Getafe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 1.00 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Getafe?

Valencia 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valencia 47%, draw 25%, Getafe 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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