Girona 2-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2024

Girona
2-0 HT 1-0
Osasuna
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Girona vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
18%
3.72
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
9%
5.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
8%
9.05
2/X
7%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Girona v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.60/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.33
+47% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.1 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Girona vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
378 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-4 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
04.06.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
23.10.2022 Girona Girona 1-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
06.01.2022 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
18.06.2016 Girona Girona 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
15.06.2016 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2

Girona 2-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2-0
AWAY Osasuna
1.95 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
500 Passes 290
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Girona vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona saw off Osasuna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Girona had 60% of the ball to Osasuna's 40%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 1.33 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Girona vs Osasuna?

Girona 2-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Girona 55%, draw 23%, Osasuna 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5
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