Cadiz 2-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2024

Cadiz
2-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.11
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
6%
8.7
X/2
14%
3.94
X/X
19%
4.57
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.36
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cadiz v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.8 Crosses 14.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.93 xG 2.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 479
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-2 HT 1-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
03.05.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 5-1 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
29.10.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 3-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
04.08.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-4 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
11.03.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 1-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.11.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-4 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Cadiz 2-0 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
2-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.11 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
275 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz saw off Atletico Madrid 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cadiz had 40% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 60%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cadiz and 3.33 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid?

Cadiz 2-0 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 23%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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