Bellinzona 0-3 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
26%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-20% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.9 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
20.07.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
06.04.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 4-1 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
17.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.11.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
23.07.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-3
AWAY Wil 1900
0.83 xG 2.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
399 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 swept aside Bellinzona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wil 1900 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 61% of the ball to Wil 1900's 39%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.83 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bellinzona and 1.50 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Bellinzona 0-3 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 40%, draw 25%, Wil 1900 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bellinzona), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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