Como 1-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Mar 2025

Como
1-1 HT 0-0
Venezia
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.09
X/2
10%
10.85
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
11%
24.7
2/2
10%
9.15
2/X
6%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.84/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.53
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.9 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 1-0 Como Como İTA
03.03.2024 Como Como 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
20.08.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-0 HT 2-0 Como Como İTB
01.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
06.11.2022 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
07.02.2015 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-1
AWAY Venezia
1.35 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
375 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como and Venezia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Como at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Como had 56% of the ball to Venezia's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.35 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Como and 1.50 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Como vs Venezia?

Como 1-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Como 49%, draw 26%, Venezia 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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