Venezia 2-2 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

Venezia
2-2 HT 1-0
Como
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 32% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.36
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
16%
6.82
X/2
18%
6.55
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.94
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.4 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Como
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Como Como 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
20.08.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-0 HT 2-0 Como Como İTB
01.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
06.11.2022 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
07.02.2015 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTC
01.05.2004 Venezia Venezia 3-1 HT 3-0 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-2
AWAY Como
0.33 xG 1.05
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
142 Passes 378
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia and Como couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 34% of the ball to Como's 66%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.33 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Venezia and 1.00 for Como.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Como?

Venezia 2-2 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Venezia 34%, draw 27%, Como 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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