Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Cagliari
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
3-0
HT 2-0
Cagliari
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTA
Fiorentina 1-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina squeezed past Cagliari 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fiorentina had 49% of the ball to Cagliari's 51%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.32 to 0.80 — on chances, Cagliari could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fiorentina and 0.50 for Cagliari.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
Fiorentina 1-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 56%, draw 22%, Cagliari 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.