Napoli 0-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

Napoli
0-1 HT 0-0
Lazio
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.61
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.95
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
10%
10.0
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
10%
7.95
2/X
5%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.73
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.8 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Napoli vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lazio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
547 Passes 368
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.12.2024 Lazio Lazio 3-1 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTK
28.01.2024 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
02.09.2023 Napoli Napoli 1-2 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
03.03.2023 Napoli Napoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
03.09.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
27.02.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 0-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
0-1
AWAY Lazio
0.56 xG 0.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
469 Passes 342
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio squeezed past Napoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Napoli had 57% of the ball to Lazio's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli and 1.33 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Lazio?

Napoli 0-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Napoli 42%, draw 27%, Lazio 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Napoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5
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