Hellas Verona 1-4 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.44
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
10%
6.99
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
5.22
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.35
Value flag · 2/X at 14.35 — our 10% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Draw — 35%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.21
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.9 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
266 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.08.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
28.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
31.08.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
20.03.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
15.12.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-4 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-4
AWAY Empoli
0.94 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
363 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli ran out comfortable winners over Hellas Verona 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Empoli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 51% of the ball to Empoli's 49%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.33 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Empoli?

Hellas Verona 1-4 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 33%, draw 35%, Empoli 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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