Hellas Verona vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hellas Verona v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Hellas Verona vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
3-4
HT 1-1
Empoli
İTK
2-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Hellas Verona squeezed past Empoli 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hellas Verona as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hellas Verona had 40% of the ball to Empoli's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.81 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.33 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Empoli?
Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 47%, draw 26%, Empoli 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hellas Verona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.