Monza 1-5 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 Jan 2024

Monza
1-5 HT 0-2
Inter
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Monza vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.15
2-3 Goals
45%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.5
1/2
7%
22.15
1/X
8%
19.5
X/1
5%
14.55
X/2
18%
3.52
X/X
10%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.69
2/X
7%
18.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.30/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.92
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
18.1 Crosses 23.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Monza vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Inter
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 2.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
413 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
15.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
07.01.2023 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA

Monza 1-5 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
1-5
AWAY Inter
1.02 xG 4.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
477 Passes 331
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Monza 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monza had 57% of the ball to Inter's 43%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.02 to 4.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monza and 1.33 for Inter.

What was the final score of Monza vs Inter?

Monza 1-5 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monza 21%, draw 25%, Inter 54%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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