Fortuna Köln 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2025

Fortuna Köln
1-1 HT 1-0
Sportfreunde Lotte
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Köln v Sportfreunde Lotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.51/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.45
-4% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
15.02.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
27.02.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-2 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
03.10.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.10.2019 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln and Sportfreunde Lotte couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.00 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Fortuna Köln 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 33%, draw 25%, Sportfreunde Lotte 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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