Almagro 1-0 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.9pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
0.75/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.60
-28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
25.08.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
07.04.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Madryn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 38% / 35%) promised a tight game; Almagro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almagro and 1.33 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn?

Almagro 1-0 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almagro 27%, draw 38%, Deportivo Madryn 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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