Sturm Graz II 2-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

Sturm Graz II
2-1 HT 1-0
Amstetten
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sturm Graz II vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.77
X/2
14%
5.84
X/X
19%
4.96
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.7
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz II v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.64/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.42
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.7 Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sturm Graz II vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 3-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
19.04.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-4 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
01.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
21.04.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 5-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2

Sturm Graz II 2-1 Amstetten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
2-1
AWAY Amstetten
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II nicked a narrow win over Amstetten 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sturm Graz II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 52% of the ball to Amstetten's 48%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sturm Graz II and 2.40 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Amstetten?

Sturm Graz II 2-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 34%, draw 29%, Amstetten 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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