Amstetten 3-1 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.84
2-3 Goals
34%
2.17
4-5 Goals
30%
2.48
6+ Goals
18%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
14%
9.39
X/X
10%
6.95
2/1
8%
18.75
2/2
11%
5.7
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.5pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
1.90/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/2.20
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
19.04.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-4 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
01.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
21.04.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 5-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten saw off Sturm Graz II 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amstetten as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Amstetten and 2.50 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?

Amstetten 3-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 41%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz II 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amstetten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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