SV Horn 1-2 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
11%
7.24
X/2
16%
4.5
X/X
7%
4.85
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.71
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.15/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.35
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.4 Crosses 23.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
05.11.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
26.02.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 4-3 HT 2-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
11.09.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
26.06.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-2 HT 0-2 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
27.09.2019 SV Horn SV Horn 2-4 HT 0-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau squeezed past SV Horn 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Horn and 2.17 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Austria Lustenau?

SV Horn 1-2 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 30%, draw 21%, Austria Lustenau 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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