Bregenz 1-2 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.91
Over 2.5
61%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
12%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
9%
7.88
X/2
21%
4.3
X/X
7%
4.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.52
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.87/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.13
-32% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
4.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Admira Wacker
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-3 HT 1-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
23.04.2005 Bregenz Bregenz 0-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
04.12.2004 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-1 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AVU
16.10.2004 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker squeezed past Bregenz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Admira Wacker as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bregenz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bregenz and 0.75 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Admira Wacker?

Bregenz 1-2 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 26%, draw 20%, Admira Wacker 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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