Kapfenberger SV 2-0 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
13%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.64
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
6.61
X/2
15%
4.79
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.96
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.23/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.57
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.2 Crosses 17.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St. Pölten
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
20.08.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
21.05.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
19.08.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
29.04.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-1 HT 2-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
24.10.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV beat St. Pölten 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 2.00 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten?

Kapfenberger SV 2-0 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 33%, draw 25%, St. Pölten 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
23 Aug 2024
19:00 Bregenz vs Admira Wacker Analysis →
19:00 SV Horn vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →
19:00 Lafnitz vs Stripfing Analysis →
19:00 Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
21:30 First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →