Lafnitz 2-2 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.43
No
33%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.49
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
13%
5.84
X/X
10%
5.77
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.4
Value flag · 2/X at 12.4 — our 10% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
+0.8pp
33%
BTTS No
34%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.78/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.57
+23% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +131%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 61%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stripfing
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
03.05.2024 Stripfing Stripfing 1-1 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
20.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-3 HT 0-3 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lafnitz and Stripfing shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stripfing led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lafnitz and 2.00 for Stripfing.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Stripfing?

Lafnitz 2-2 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 38%, draw 27%, Stripfing 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lafnitz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lafnitz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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