Adelaide United (K) 1-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.14/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.55
-3% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
11.6 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 2.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
03.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.55 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
261 Passes 216
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) squeezed past Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide United (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 54% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 46%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.55 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.00 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 42%, draw 23%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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