Dender EH 0-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Mar 2025

Dender EH
0-1 HT 0-0
Genk
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Dender EH vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.88
1/2
5%
23.4
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
9%
8.72
X/2
16%
4.31
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.33
2/X
10%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dender EH v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
0.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.34
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
17.2 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Dender EH vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Genk
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
0.42 xG 2.34
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 8
295 Passes 543
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
07.03.2009 Genk Genk 4-3 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
18.10.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-4 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
19.04.2008 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
02.12.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL

Dender EH 0-1 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-1
AWAY Genk
1.73 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
222 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Dender EH 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dender EH had 39% of the ball to Genk's 61%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Dender EH and 2.80 for Genk.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Genk?

Dender EH 0-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 25%, draw 29%, Genk 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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