Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Mar 2025

Sporting Charleroi
0-1 HT 0-1
Mechelen
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.01
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
19%
4.97
X/2
10%
6.89
X/X
9%
4.46
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.0
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.71/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.6 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.89 xG 2.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-2 HT 3-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.11.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
05.02.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
12.11.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-5 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
14.05.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-1
AWAY Mechelen
1.73 xG 0.92
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
492 Passes 207
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 67% of the ball to Mechelen's 33%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.92 — on chances, Sporting Charleroi could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.67 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 44%, draw 26%, Mechelen 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ BTTS Yes
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