Colwyn Bay 3-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.9
No
36%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.1pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.0pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
49%
+15.2pp
36%
BTTS No
51%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.34/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.86
+12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caersws
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2025 Caersws Caersws 1-2 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay beat Caersws 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Caersws?

Colwyn Bay 3-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 69%, draw 19%, Caersws 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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