Daegu 1-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.38
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.33
X/2
15%
6.32
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.42
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.21/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.10
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 11.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
27.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
02.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.07.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
20.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
521 Passes 192
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen squeezed past Daegu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Daegu had 70% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 30%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Daegu and 0.67 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Daegu 1-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Daegu 40%, draw 28%, Daejeon Citizen 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daegu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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